Sunday, July 16, 2017

The Trump Hypothesis

Shortly after we found out about the meeting between Trump, Jr., Manafort, Kushner, and the "Russian government lawyer," we found out there were more people in the room. One of them was connected with Russian counter-intelligence. However this particular detail turns out... it just felt like the last straw to me.

I'm going to propose what I now think is a very reasonable hypothesis for testing:

"In 2015-2016 the Russian government and Russian intelligence launched an operation to put a friendly person into the White House, someone who would give them favorable treatment over sanctions, the Ukraine, and other issues. They used a variety of methods they are known to have used in other countries. At some point, the campaign they were helping began communicating with them and cooperating with them in this operation and the Russian choice for 2016 is now the President of the United States."

The first part of the hypothesis - that there was a Russian operation - is already supported by overwhelming evidence. The second part of the hypothesis - that an American Presidential candidate cooperated with a Russian intelligence operation designed to make him President - is becoming more likely with every new revelation.

So that's my hypothesis. Now we will test it with all the available evidence. Let's see if it's true. If it is not true, no harm done. If it is true, this will be a tragedy for the United States, and an embarrassment of epic proportions.

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[Now that Trump is President we better learn all we can about him. This book looks like a good place to start. Please buy it, read it, let me know how it is!]

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Copyright © 2017 by Joseph Wayne Gadway

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